Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 67.601699 76.376660 85.378799 95.271989 105.807448 116.661861 128.660471
2025-06-01 54.277514 66.845756 80.351120 95.809296 112.886384 131.059514 151.747509
2025-06-08 45.232324 59.673102 75.757084 94.723877 116.221995 139.602818 166.730737
2025-06-15 39.764984 55.709301 74.018452 96.141160 121.728924 150.024336 183.324084
2025-06-22 35.496231 52.589569 72.770987 97.682132 126.996058 159.863578 198.994704
2025-06-29 30.760509 48.392456 69.825235 96.859389 129.216776 165.984277 210.241997
2025-07-06 26.077949 43.793200 66.003470 94.645297 129.512049 169.649991 218.476203
2025-07-13 24.544976 43.143691 66.960168 98.127578 136.487485 181.014531 235.539736
2025-07-20 22.615710 41.764957 66.843711 100.165698 141.637513 190.178946 250.011821
2025-07-27 19.956778 39.123482 64.902179 99.758832 143.690363 195.588898 260.023962
2025-08-03 17.456432 36.471410 62.764247 98.949210 145.125586 200.169393 268.986371
2025-08-10 15.713167 34.779874 61.798855 99.551823 148.237036 206.707604 280.228446
2025-08-17 13.716005 32.530160 59.965833 98.966302 149.850269 211.465769 289.424611
2025-08-24 12.199956 30.897965 58.897244 99.319015 152.602416 217.586401 300.249384
2025-08-31 10.456221 28.684601 56.851175 98.241919 153.437440 221.290148 308.113236
2025-09-07 9.537369 27.802857 56.690221 99.684624 157.489009 228.943882 320.750652
2025-09-14 8.734643 27.041842 56.653429 101.259399 161.688467 236.770902 333.600501
2025-09-21 7.470147 25.250691 54.942809 100.418943 162.666328 240.541201 341.475010
2025-09-28 6.065904 22.959443 52.307691 98.157260 161.678573 241.780210 346.195444
2025-10-05 5.898932 23.227209 53.736994 101.714219 168.445002 252.809322 362.982700
2025-10-12 5.477175 22.887979 54.156090 103.795540 173.230043 261.334538 376.693264
2025-10-19 4.674521 21.568822 52.896125 103.380080 174.619575 265.526000 385.030980
2025-10-26 3.899375 20.161805 51.400770 102.553311 175.405181 268.915406 392.351930